The latest headlines from the city of Fallujah, the scene of much intense fighting involving U.S. forces during the Iraq War, are ominous:
— “Iraq Government Loses Control Of Fallujah.” (Al-Jazeera)
— “Sunni Fighters ‘Control All Of Fallujah.’ ” (BBC News)
— “Al-Qaida Militants In Iraq Seize Much Of Fallujah.” (USA Today)
Fighters aligned with al-Qaida have been attacking police stations, killing local officials and taking over some areas, he says. Meanwhile, Sunni militias — many including some of the same fighters who assisted the U.S. during the “Sunni awakening” that pushed al-Qaida out of the region during the Iraq War — are in charge elsewhere.
At the same time, the Iraqi Army has pulled back in the face of attacks from the al-Qaida fighters and has largely ceded the ground fighting to the Sunni militias — who, to complicate matters further, have no great love for the Shiite Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and his supporters. The army has been firing some shells into the city, though, allegedly in the direction of al-Qaida fighters. There have been deaths from that shelling and some of those killed, apparently, were Sunni — not al-Qaida.
The army has given up trying to control the exit and entry points around Fallujah, Sowell says, which means “there’s complete freedom of movement” for fighters of all types.
But the worst thing al-Maliki could do, says Sowell, would be to send the Iraqi in to try to restore order. It could end up just getting bogged down and taking fire from all sides.
So what does he see as the better strategy? “Negotiate to where the city is in control of [Sunni] tribes that are hostile to al-Qaida.”
Much more from Sowell’s conversation with Arun will be posted on All Things Considered‘s page later today.